Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1007.812778 1134.826141 1273.226916 1435.483275 1620.809996 1826.248535 2071.735113
2026-01-25 823.316004 998.595169 1205.774082 1469.830202 1799.001097 2197.846125 2720.788980
2026-02-01 715.549965 912.413518 1158.290092 1490.180748 1929.881635 2497.155880 3292.053895
2026-02-08 635.945555 844.062103 1115.782020 1500.074959 2035.284706 2762.655623 3840.342254
2026-02-15 576.995989 792.537857 1084.884638 1515.408291 2141.754848 3032.916513 4420.465820
2026-02-22 533.764959 755.912386 1067.668057 1543.809190 2264.518524 3333.853854 5076.877497
2026-03-01 479.990744 697.819739 1012.618792 1508.826092 2286.309958 3483.147129 5514.747482
2026-03-08 431.144646 641.675070 954.037704 1460.620071 2279.622341 3583.447029 5880.726186
2026-03-15 389.772091 592.694171 901.133062 1414.672529 2269.421315 3673.501761 6235.649858
2026-03-22 373.489862 580.720123 903.718176 1456.465198 2404.995324 4015.582475 7066.101092
2026-03-29 354.085815 561.881873 893.311867 1475.029681 2501.928232 4300.231926 7827.458700
2026-04-05 335.266267 542.260782 879.627928 1486.065906 2585.684007 4568.750621 8590.863817
2026-04-12 316.664111 522.005330 863.988058 1493.627564 2666.601622 4845.917733 9419.738738
2026-04-19 304.427614 511.581945 864.228252 1529.543442 2803.758414 5244.864041 10552.712348
2026-04-26 290.920249 497.737096 857.098303 1550.805954 2914.553170 5604.262524 11653.696779
2026-05-03 276.959269 481.907490 844.958476 1561.144625 3004.431628 5931.097664 12730.560543
2026-05-10 264.997362 468.696335 836.365035 1577.167282 3106.791753 6294.448589 13942.228394
2026-05-17 255.798674 459.803885 834.933265 1606.846884 3239.894796 6737.727675 15406.657607
2026-05-24 238.950345 435.345121 802.126427 1570.289084 3228.934042 6864.867209 16128.058146
2026-05-31 221.863566 409.250513 764.242305 1519.919378 3182.777011 6907.353324 16644.205121
2026-06-07 206.434418 385.336658 728.933915 1471.916414 3137.007794 6945.349358 17154.441064
2026-06-14 202.247212 383.116066 736.455365 1515.578361 3302.037831 7496.577037 19103.120165
2026-06-21 195.707934 375.745680 732.985710 1534.974984 3413.035666 7931.094045 20807.448911